The Energy Efficiency Opportunity and the Case for Government Leadership

Governments around the world are supporting energy efficiency because it buoys economic development and drives innovation.. There is a strong business case for energy efficiency which is why it is at the leading edge of a tremendous opportunity.  According to the IEA, in 2016 global investments in energy efficiency grew by almost 10 percent to $231 billion.

There is a powerfully persuasive argument in support of energy efficiency as it offers the dual benefits of decreasing costs and reducing climate change causing greenhouse gases (GHGs). The economic opportunities and savings associated with energy efficiency are considerable. Those who still need convincing need only tally the costs of failing to act on climate change. 

Corporations are deriving real value from energy efficiency this includes companies like IKEA and Apple,. Walmart has saved more than a billion dollars by doubling the efficiency of its fleet. Energy management systems have helped to improve industrial efficiency. According to the EIA increasing energy use per unit of economic output in the industrial sector fell by nearly 20 percent between 2000 and 2016. Corporations are not the only ones that are cashing in, schools are reaping financial windfalls from energy efficiency..

While we are seeing leadership from educational establishments and corporations, the lion's share of the work still remains to be done. The vast size of the energy efficiency opportunity is due to the ubiquity of the need and the tremendous room for growth in this space. The world is very far from meeting its 2030 energy efficiency SDG target and the US barely cracks the top ten in energy efficiency.

Sustainability makes sense on a number of levels and the results oriented case for green building is hard to refute.  Buildings account for 58 percent of the energy efficiency sector which translated to more than $125 billion in 2016. The IEA acknowledges that there has been progress but states that further growth is possible and opportunities for costs savings and emissions reductions abound as the vast majority of buildings are highly inefficient. If we were to implement efficiency into existing buildings we could cut global energy demand by one third by 2050.

There are also tremendous efficiency opportunities in a wide range of other industries including unlikely places like beer and trucking. The biggest opportunities are be found in energy markets and this includes renewables, and energy storage. According to a 2014 IEA report renewable energy, energy efficiency and energy storage can stave off climate change and provide significant economic benefits. The report titled, “Energy Technology Perspectives.” indicates that these measures could generate net savings of $71 trillion by 2050.

Lighting is another domain that will see prodigious growth. The IEA predicts that by 2022, 90 percent of all indoor lighting worldwide will be either compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) or light-emitting diodes (LEDs).

According to the IEA, energy efficiency enabled the world to reduce its energy usage by 12 percent between 2000 - 2016.  Efficiency avoided $50 billion in additional spending on energy imports in IEA member countries in 2016.

The Obama administration saw results from its support for energy efficiency that had an impact on global energy demand. It also reduced consumers energy bills, decreased emissions and made energy systems more secure. According to the IEA, energy efficiency enabled the world to reduce its energy usage by 12 percent between 2000 - 2016.  Efficiency avoided $50 billion in additional spending on energy imports in IEA member countries in 2016.

Despite the proven performance and the size of the opportunities the reality is that unlike its predecessor, the current US administration does not have any interest in efficiency. They will not set higher standards or craft responsible policy, in fact they are doing the exact opposite. They are lowering or removing standards as part of a bizarre policy of energy inefficiency.

Interest outside of government will continue to drive investments in energy efficiency. Investors and business leaders cannot ignore the plethora of reports that have made the case for energy efficiency as a proven economic performer. An Alliance to Save Energy report summed up the impact of energy efficiency in the US as follows:
"Time and again the business case for energy efficiency is supported through real economic savings. Without the numerous energy efficiency improvements made since 1973, the U.S. would require about 50% more energy to deliver our current GDP. The adoption of more efficient products and services is responsible for 60% to 75% of the increase in energy productivity since 1970."
Energy efficiency is also at the center of efforts to stave off climate change. In 2006 the Stern Review pointed to energy efficiency as a critical component of climate action. The Alliance report came to the same conclusions seven years later. Social-ecological systems (SES) science shares the view that energy efficiency is a key part of international frameworks to slow warming. This perspective is corroborated by governments around the world. Although the current US administration may reject energy efficiency, it is at odds with it all 7 branches of US armed forces.

"More than ever before, energy efficiency is central to the achievement of a range of policy goals, including energy security, economic growth and environmental sustainability." the IEA report said.

The case for energy efficiency is compelling, yet in the absence of government support it will not scale quickly enough to address the threats we face.

This article was last updated on August 29th, 2018 at 11:55 AM EST

Related
The Trump Administration's Policy of Energy Inefficiency
Business Needs Government to Incentivize Efficiency and the Green Economy
Video - The Value of Energy Efficiency
Energy Efficiency Resources 
Economic Benefits of Renewable Energy and Efficiency (IEA)
US Energy Efficiency: Success Stories and Barriers
Predictions for US Energy Efficiency: Growth and Obstacles
Sustainable Cities: Business Opportunities from Resource Efficiency
Investing in Energy Efficiency

Webinar - Q3 Energy Market Update

This webinar will take place on Thursday, August 30, 2018 at 11:00 AM Pacific / 2:00 PM Eastern. There will be a live question and answer period with ENGIE Insight's Jonathan Lee, Senior Energy Market Intelligence Manager, Energy Procurement for the quarterly energy market update webinar.

Jonathan will be covering the following key topics:

- A summer recap
- Prepping for fall and winter weather
- Tips and tricks preparing energy budgets

Click here to register today. Even if you can't attend you can still register to receive a recording.
Click here to forward invite

email:info@ecova.com

© ENGIE Insight Services Inc. (Formerly Ecova, Inc.) 
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The Trump Administration's Policy of Energy Inefficiency

The ruling US administration has purged government support for energy efficiency and replaced it with what can only be called an inefficiency policy. The Trump administration and the GOP have systematically eradicated energy efficiency programs ranging from appliances to vehicles and utilities. Earlier this month they announced that they are replacing Obama's Clean Power Plan and killing Obama's higher vehicle mileage standards. This administration has also ended a decades-old energy conservation policy that dates back to the 1970s. In July the administration quietly released a memo that declared conserving oil is no longer an economic imperative.

Energy efficiency is the last bastion of the green economy to come under attack from the pessimal presidency of Donald Trump and his Republican minions. This government is not content to simply withdraw their support they seem hellbent on using their authority to crush the idea of energy efficiency altogether. They have targeted government agencies, departments, policies and programs that benefit our environment and our climate. They have also adopted other measures that have made the situation worse.

Trump is not only intent on ending government support for renewables he is actively encouraging increased consumption of dirty sources of energy. Trump champions fossil fuels while opposing renewable energy to benefit his friends in industry and to pander to his climate-denying-coal-rolling-base. The US is the world's biggest economy, and the largest consumer of energy on the planet, so what the president does has grave global consequences.

No matter what the spin machine running Washington says the truth is the election of 2016 has been nightmare. From pollution to health care, and tax reform the American people are being defrauded by their own government. The malfeasance of this administration and the GOP will go down in infamy.

We need governments to incentivize the green economy, we also need them to regulate. At the very least we need them to stay out of the way of state initiatives. This hope was dashed when the Trump administration announced that it would not grant California a waver to allow the state to set its own mileage standards.

The Trump administration has systematically purged a raft of energy efficiency programs. In addition to killing efficiency measures for utilities and vehicles they have also made appliances less efficient by deferring action on five appliance efficiency standards and moving to repeal another three. This makes American manufacturers less competitive and it forces consumers to absorb the higher costs of operating these appliances.

Up until the election of Trump the US had made great strides in improving their energy intensity (energy use per unit of gross domestic product). The Trump regime has impeded the growth of sustainability and although the courts have checked some of the more reckless behavior coming out of the White House, they cannot stop the wrecking ball that is this administration.

The world may be investing in the green economy but Trump's 2018 budget made it clear that he wants to erode environmental protections and kill climate action. Almost everyone accepts that energy efficiency offers multiple benefits, everyone it seems except those who currently rule Washington.

Related
Business Needs Government to Incentivize Efficiency and the Green Economy
Obama Era Energy Efficiency Standards Would Have Prevented 3 Gigatons of GHGs by 2030
Ten Schools Leveraging Energy Efficiency to Save Money
IKEA is a Corporate Leader in Renewables and Efficiency
Video - The Value of Energy Efficiency
The Case for Green Building
Economic Benefits of Renewable Energy and Efficiency (IEA)
US Energy Efficiency - Success Stories and Barriers
Predictions for US Energy Efficiency - Growth and Obstacles
Sustainable Cities: Business Opportunities from Resource Efficiency
Investing in Energy Efficiency

Event - Recycling and Waste Management Exhibiton & Conference (RWM)

The RWM Exhibition will take place on September 12 & 13, 2018 in Birmingham, UK. This is the UK's Largest Recycling & Waste Management Exhibition and Conference.

Of the 2000 influential visitors to RWM 90 percent are senior management. 350 seminars, 30 panel Sessions,, this event includes dedicated zones and sectors that unite the world of energy, waste, water and recycling. Zones and sectors include Energy from Waste, Transporting, collecting and handling, Machinery and Equipement, Recyclers and Reprocessors, Data, Tech & Service

Energy from Waste is a solution capable of diverting materials that can’t be recycled away from landfill, as well as one that offers practical ideas to help meet modern-resource needs and this zone is dedicated to highlighting the latest tech and solutions.

Transporting, collecting and handling materials efficiently and safely is often the first link in the chain of any successful resource management operation and this sector is dedicated to solutions that improve the performance of your business, ensuring that revenues are maximised.

The Machinery & Equipment sector showcases the latest technology needed for business to maximise revenue from waste through the latest lifting, sorting, shredding, baling and compacting machinery.

The Recyclers & Reprocessors Zone companies that specialise in the innovative handling of waste – including municipal, C&D, C&I and hazardous materials recycling – with the goal of diverting it from landfill or in ensuring as much value as possible is extracted from it.

Data, Tech & Services is an expanded version of the zone previously knozn as Professional Services. In addition to the legal and recruitment specialists in everything from smart data to insurance and, for the first time, software solutions.

Partial speaker line-up and topics

  • Mike Webster, CEO - WasteAid UK. 1) Global producer responsibility for waste management around the world 2) WasteAid Supporters Network
  • Keith Trower, Viridor. Challenges for the Plastics recycling market and global recycling agenda
  • Priya Chauhan, Google Digital Garage. Build a Digital Marketing Plan for your Waste Management Company
  • Jacqueline ODonovan, O'Donovan Waste Disposal, Building a Multi-Award Winning Family Business 
  • Sir John Armitt, National Infrastructure Commission, Keynote on National Infrastructure Assessment regarding Resources and waste management
  • Adam Read, SUEZ Recycling and Recovery UK. PANEL: Future of Extended Producer Responsibility
  • David Palmer-Jones, Chief Executive Officer - SUEZ Recycling and Recovery UK. OPENING PANEL: Leaders of the Waste World
  • Ian Wakelin, Chief Executive Officer - Biffa, OPENING PANEL: Leaders of the Waste World
  • Mary Creagh, Environment Audit Committee, Keynote on future UK Environmental policy / strategy
  • Oliver Rosevear, Head of Sustainability at Costa Coffee, Join the UK’s biggest coffee cup recycling revolution
  • Deborah Sacks, Department of International Trade, PANEL: Developing and Delivering International Waste Management Infrastructure
  • Margareth Pohan, Department of International Trade, PANEL: Developing and Delivering International Waste Management Infrastructure Leonie Cooper: 
  • Leonie Cooper, London Assembly, Greater London Authority, Waste – or Resources?
  • Simon Ellin & Phil Wylie, CEO of The Recycling Association & HSM National Accounts Manager
  • Quality Recycling in a Changing Global Marketplace
  • Collin Church, Chief Executive Officer - CIWM, PANEL: Industry Perspective on Infrastructure Assessment
  • Nick Brown, Head of Sustainability - Coca Cola European Partners. PANEL: Deposit & Refund: Does it work?
  • Brian Williams - Director Wood, PANEL: Developing and Delivering International Waste Management Infrastructure
  • Stephen Wise, Wood - Waste Sector Director. PANEL: Developing and Delivering International Waste Management Infrastructure.
  • Mike Webster, CEO - WasteAid UK. 1) Global producer responsibility for waste management around the world 2) WasteAid Supporters Network.
  • Keith Trower, Viridor, Challenges for the Plastics recycling market and global recycling agenda 

Click here for more information 
Click here to see the showguide
Click here to order tickets.

Course - Blockchain Technologies Online at MIT

Blockchain Technologies: Business Innovation and Application is an online course being offered through MIT Sloan School of Management. Blockchains are a cutting edge sustainability trend. This 6 week course offers flexible learning modules requiring 5-6 hours per week. Participants will be provided with an economic framework for identifying blockchain-based solutions to challenges within your own context.

They will also get a deeper understanding of blockchain technology and its long-term implications for business, coupled with knowledge of its relationship to other emerging technologies such as AI and IoT. Participants will get a certificate of completion from the MIT Sloan School of Management — one of the world’s leading business schools.

The course will be guided by the knowledge of cryptoeconomics expert Christian Catalini

COURSE TRAILER

This MIT Sloan online program is delivered in collaboration with online education provider, GetSmarter. Join over 50,000 students globally who have already benefited.



COURSE CURRICULUM

Orientation Module: Welcome to Your Online Campus
  • Module 1: An introduction to blockchain technology
  • Module 2: Bitcoin and the curse of the double-spending problem
  • Module 3: Costless verification: Blockchain technology and the last mile problem
  • Module 4: Bootstrapping network effects through blockchain technology and cryptoeconomics
  • Module 5: Using tokens to design new types of digital platforms
  • Module 6: The future of blockchain technology, AI, and digital privacy
  •  
AN ONLINE EDUCATION THAT SETS YOU APART

  • Gain verifiable and relevant competencies and earn invaluable recognition from a top-tier university, entirely online and in your own time.
  • Enjoy a personalized, people-mediated online learning experience that consistently achieves a 90%+ course certification rate
  • Experience a flexible but structured approach to online education as you plan your learning around your life to meet weekly milestones
  • Each module is released weekly, allowing a flexible but structured approach to learning. You’ll be supported as you engage in individual activities and group discussions, ensuring you feel confident to submit your best work at each weekly deadline.

GET YOUR COURSE BROCHURE

Click here to get your course brochure and receive more information about module content, program relevance, and learning format. 

WHAT IS GETSMARTER?

GetSmarter, a wholly-owned subsidiary of 2U, Inc., is a digital education company that partners with the world's leading universities to select, design and deliver premium online short courses with a data-driven focus on learning gain.

Technology meets academic rigor in our people-mediated model which enables lifelong learners across the globe to obtain industry-relevant skills that are certified by the world’s most reputable academic institutions.

Contact us: getsmarter.com | +1 224 249 3522 
______________________________________________

Stay tuned for more green school information and resources. From August until the end of October, the Green Market Oracle will feature weekly posts as part of the 2018 edition of the Green School Series which includes links to almost 400 posts covering everything you need to know about sustainable academics, student eco-initiatives, green school buildings, and college rankings as well as a wide range of related information and resources.

Related
Comprehensive Green School Information and Resources 2010 - 2017

Support Greenpop's Treevolution!

A social organization by the name of Greenpop is making greening POPular by planting trees in Africa. Greenpop describes itself as the coolest environmentalist social enterprise in Cape Town, South Africa. Its creator film producer Misha Teasdale realized that his carbon footprint was unsustainable for the planet, so he created Greenpop, an organisation dedicated to repopulating the forests of South Africa.

Greenpop runs with the help of passionate citizens and organizations with years of experience in relevant environmental projects across Sub-Saharan Africa. These initiatives include planting and gardens in urban spaces, reforesting degraded areas, building capacity for climate change adaptation and inspiring future environmentalists through eco-education campaigns.

Teadale reflects on the difference between success and significance in the Greenpop documentary The Rise of Us, he states that he wants his life to be about significance. One day we are all going to die, Teasdale said, we are not going to think about how much money we had in the bank we are going to think about the people we care about, we are going to ask, "did I add more than I subtracted? Did I have purpose?"

Greenpop is growing a Treevolution- a world where people and nature thrive all together. With the help of people like you, they have planted almost 100,000 trees. Those trees provide daily benefits to 350,000 people in communities located in 3 countries. They need your help to keep planting trees, greening communities, and empowering environmental stewards across Sub-Saharan Africa.



It is time for you to get active (not anxious) about the future of our planet! Be part of  the TREEvolution! Donate now and thank you in advance for your precious support!  Click here to donate to a fundraising project run by Greenpop intern Lucrezia Lancia.

Greenpop Foundation NPC is a registered non-profit organisation and can issue a donation receipt for your tax deduction at the end of the tax year.Registration Number (NPO): 151-411 NPOPublic Benefit Organisation Number: 930050622

For more information or to contact Greenpop click here.

Course - Big Data and Social Analytics

This flexible 8-12 hours per week, online short course is offered by MIT School of Architecture and Planning. Big data it is a portal to a wealth of benefits including operational efficiencies, however, when big data is paired with social analytics it unlocks a new way for us to view the world. Peering through the lens of social physics we gain access to a unique perspective that shifts the focus of big data. In this new frontier data analysis not only contributes to better decision making, it also enables us to better assist humanity.

Benefits of the Big Data and Social Analytics course at MIT
  • An understanding of the kind of data you are dealing with in your role, and the ability to conduct a preliminary analysis and draw hypotheses about the data.
  • The ability to analyze big data to better understand and predict human networks and behaviors in social structures.
  • Proof of your knowledge of big data and social analytics in the form of a certificate from the MIT School of Architecture and Planning.

FACULTY DIRECTOR – PROF ALEX "SANDY" PENTLAND

Prof Pentland is the founding Faculty Director of the MIT Connection Science Research Initiative, which uses network science to access and change real-world human behavior. He also holds a triple appointment at MIT in Media Arts and Sciences, Engineering Systems Division and with the Sloan School of Management, and has been called the “Father of Social Physics”.

An online education that sets you apart

 - Gain verifiable and relevant competencies and earn invaluable recognition from a top-tier                 university, entirely online and in your own time.

- Enjoy a personalized, people-mediated online learning experience that consistently achieves a 90%+ course certification rate

- Experience a flexible but structured approach to online education as you plan your learning around your life to meet weekly milestones

COURSE CURRICULUM

Orientation Module: Welcome to Your Online Campus
  • Module 1: Foundations of Big Data and Social Physics
  • Module 2: Personal Sensors and Human Behavior
  • Module 3: First-order Analysis and Data Exploration
  • Module 4: Network of Physical Interactions
  • Module 5: Second-order Analysis and Data Exploration
  • Module 6: Using Data to Effect Behavior Change
  • Module 7: Application of Big Data in Industry
  • Module 8: Data in Action

Click here to receive course brochure to get more information about module content, program relevance, and learning format.

This MIT SA+P program is delivered in collaboration with online education provider, GetSmarter. Join over 48,000 students globally. Contact us: getsmarter.com | +1 224 249 3522

______________________________________________

Stay tuned for more green school information and resources. From August until the end of October, the Green Market Oracle will feature weekly posts as part of the 2018 edition of the Green School Series which includes links to almost 400 posts covering everything you need to know about sustainable academics, student eco-initiatives, green school buildings, and college rankings as well as a wide range of related information and resources.

Related
Comprehensive Green School Information and Resources 2010 - 2017

Arctic Climate Feedback Loops: Heat, Melting Ice and Fires

The Arctic is being ravaged by a trifecta of three interrelated phenomenon that are all connected by climate change. Global warming is contributing to more heat waves. Hotter average temperatures in the Arctic are also melting the ice and causing wildfires.

These three phenomenon are interacting synergistically to amplify climate changes. These interrelationships can also be described as climate feedback loops, meaning they are vicious cycles that accelerate warming. Various permutations of feedback loops can be found between these three phenomenon.


Heat Waves

This year's hot summer is but the latest example of decades of hot data. Weather in the Arctic is completely out of whack and this should concern us all. The world is warming because of climate change but in the Arctic that warming is taking place twice as fast.  The Arctic acts as a global climate regulator, so what we see happening there has implications for us all.

Climate change is causing the Arctic spring to start 16 days early than it did a decade ago, it is also causing algae blooms. This is the finding of a study by researchers from the University of California, Davis that was published last March in the journal Scientific Reports. Last winter the temperature in the Arctic was 3°C warmer than average and in the month of February it was 10°C warmer in some places.

These Arctic heatwaves are unprecedented and they have stunned scientists. "The extended warmth really has staggered all of us," said Ruth Mottram, a climate scientist at the Danish Meteorological Institute. Calling these heatwaves statistical anomalies belittles the reality. "It’s just crazy, crazy stuff," said Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder Colorado.

In Northern Siberia, along the coast of the Arctic Ocean temperatures were 90°F on July fifth that is 40°F above normal. "It is absolutely incredible and really one of the most intense heat events I’ve ever seen for so far north," meteorologist Nick Humphrey was quoted as saying in the Washington Post.

Melting Ice

This record breaking warmth is occurring against the backdrop of melting ice. We are seeing diminishing sea ice, declining glaciers and thawing permafrost both on land and on the ocean floor.

Last February, Arctic sea ice had shrunk 62,000 square miles below last year's record low. This is more than a half a million square miles below the 30 year normal.  Recently a massive section of ice disappeared in Greenland. Ice is disappearing in the Arctic and there is not much doubt about why. "Climate change is the overriding thing," data center senior scientist Walt Meier said.

Melting ice also increases temperatures through a phenonomenon known as the albeido effect.  Ice reflects light back into space, when there is less ice, less light is reflected back into space and this drives surface temperatures even higher.

Climate change has shrunk the glacier on Sweden's highest peak. A Stockholm University geography professor claims that during July the summit of Kebnekaise mountain fell by four metres and is no long Sweden's highest peak. Glaciers in Canada's high Arctic are also disappearing according to satellite imagery. The 200 meter thick ice shelves are collapsing at an increasing rate and risk disappearing altogether. This is the conclusion of researchers from the University of Ottawa who published a study in June in the Journal of Glaciology. European and Canadian glaciers are not the only Arctic glaciers that are melting, so are those in Alaska.

The most obvious consequence of melting Arctic ice is sea level rise, however there are other even more apocalyptic implications. The permafrost on the ground and on the ocean floor is also melting and this is unleashing vast quantities of methane a potent greenhouse gas.

The permafrost is also releasing CO2 the primary GHG. It only covers around 8 percent of the Arctic land surface but there is 1,500 billion tons of carbon locked in the permafrost. This is half the global total in amount of carbon the ground and twice the amount of CO2 currently in the atmosphere. According to a NASA study published last month the rate at which carbon is released from the permafrost into the atmosphere is accelerating.  The study concluded that Arctic carbon spends 13 percent less time locked in frozen soil that it did four decades ago. 

Approximately 1.9 million square kilometres of the Arctic is composed of either forested and non-forested peatland. When Arctic peatlands thaw they are also prone to greenhouse gas intensive wildfires.

Wildfires

The link between climate change heat and wildfires is increasingly well documented. Extreme heat in the Arctic is causing unprecedented wildfires that have serious global implications.  Severe drought and heat in northern Sweden ignited more than 80 wildfires this summer that burned more than 30,000 hectares across the country.

A total of at least 11 large fires burned in Sweden's Arctic. The main culprit appears to be the hot dry conditions which have made vegetation highly combustible. Four northern Swedish communities were evacuated and tens of thousands have been cautioned to remain indoors to reduce smoke inhalation.

Sweden is not the only Arctic nation that has been plagued with wildfires. A bit more than one year ago Greenland's thawed peatland was ablaze, in 2014 fires ravaged parts of Canada's Boreal forest. Russia has also seen an increase in fires in the far north as has Norway, Finland, and the United States.

The Guardian quotes climate scientist Vincent Gauci as saying that heat as the catalyst that make these fires possible. The threat can be expected to increase as the planet continues to warm.

Wildfires are not only caused by climate change, they also add to it. Wildfires spew vast amounts of carbon into the atmosphere and this causes planetary warming that is exacerbated by increasing Arctic wildfires. To add insult to injury, wildfires in the Arctic can dramatically darken sea ice reducing the albeido effect and further accelerate warming.

Feedback loops

The Arctic is especially prone to negative climate feedback loops. Climate change induced warming causes wildfires that emit carbon and increase global warming. Heat also causes the thawing and drying of Arctic peatlands and when they burn they release significantly more carbon than wildfires elsewhere. This accelerates global warming and sets the stage for more fires.

The feedback loops between heat, ice and fire may even augur tipping points from which we have no hope of recovering.

Related
Heat Connects Wildfires to Climate Change
Why the Fate of the Arctic Should be of Concern to Us All
The Dangerous Feedback Loop Between Wildfires and Climate Change
Feedback Loops Between Wildfires Peat and Carbon
Arctic Warming Feedback Loops: Algae Blooms and Thawing Permafrost
Extreme Weather and Fossil Fuels Feedback Loop Makes the Case for Clean Energy
The State of Arctic Warming and Melting Ice
Rising CO2 Emissions and Ongoing Heat Records Especially in the Arctic
More Evidence of Historic Arctic Warming: Lake Sediment and Ice Cores
Arctic Sea Ice is Disappearing

Ten Schools Leveraging Energy Efficiency to Save Money

Schools from California to New Jersey are benefiting from their investments in energy efficiency.The economics of things like HVAC retrofits and lighting upgrades are hard to dispute. This is a market driven trend that is sure to keep growing as schools are forced to do more with less resources. Power saving opportunities abound for schools at every level ranging from elementary to post secondary. Here are ten examples of schools that are saving money while reducing their carbon footprints..

The Boulder Valley School District in Colorado has leveraged energy efficiency and gleaned a 52 percent saving. As reported by Energy Manager Today, this amounts to a $170,000 annual windfall. Rebates from Xcel, the utility that serves the district, will be more than $300,000. The project will minimize power requirements by providing a 20 percent reduction in energy per square foot by 2019.

In the last decade the Boulder Valley School District has forged a path that is leading the way for energy efficient schools. In 2009 the district began investing in an ambitious project that started with a plan called the Sustainability Management System (SMS).  In 2013 the plan was refined with the addition of the Sustainability Energy Plan (SEP) that instituted time-frames and established goals. As indicated in the 2017 Boulder Valley School District Annual Report their goal is to be a zero net energy capable (ZNEC) district by 2050.

Olentangy Local School District in Lewis Center, Ohio, invested in an energy management software and is saving $350,000 per year.  Texas Wesleyan University in Fort Worth invested in a campus wide energy efficiency project that will save the school more than $12 million over 15 years. It will also reduce the emissions associated with generating 7.2 million kWh of energy annually. A campus wide retrof with highly efficient maintenance free induction lighting is saving Kent State more than $10,000 per year 

The San Marcos Unified School District in San Diego is optimizing its energy management system, replacing HVAC equipment and performing lighting upgrades. The combined energy savings from the 18 campuses will be more than 1 million kWh annually which is a savings of more than $170,000 per year. San Diego's Vista Unified School District will also save money now that its Energy Expenditure Plan has been approved by the California Energy Commission.

California's Hacienda la Puente Unified School District's investments in energy efficiency are expected to save about $818,000 annually. Since 2010 the district has been working on improving efficiency that includes modern lighting and upgraded HVAC and HVAC controls. The district has kept capital costs down by ensuring that their energy performance contracts put the expense onus on the vendors.

Schools are increasingly looking to energy savings performance contracts (ESPC) such as the one signed between Lawrence County Schools in Moulton Alabama and Schneider Electric. The deal is expected to reduce energy consumption by 25 percent. This amounts to a total of $11.7 million in energy savings. The 20 year ESPC will help the district to fund upgrades including lighting and automation in all 19 of its buildings. The South Lane School District in Oregon has also signed and ESPC that is expected to save money and shrink the districts carbon footprint.

Many schools do an energy audit to help them craft efficiency strategies that both reduce their costs and slash their carbon footprints. The Pequannock Board of Education is running energy audits to identify and improve efficiency.  In consort with the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities' (BPU) Clean Energy Program the board is participating in the Local Government Energy Audit (LGEA). As reported by NorthJersey.com, this is part of the Energy Savings Improvement Program (ESIP) that compares the cost savings from the audit with the costs of efficiency upgrades.

Not all energy audits demand massive capital outlays. In 2017 the Greensburg Salem School District in Pennsylvania did an energy audit that concluded the district required only minor adjustments like the installation of LED lighting. No major upgrades or retrofits were suggested. However, the district may have to go forward with upgrades as the plumbing and electrical systems will soon need to be replaced.
______________________________________________

Stay tuned for more green school information and resources. From August until the end of October, the Green Market Oracle will feature weekly posts as part of the 2018 edition of the Green School Series which includes links to almost 400 articles covering everything you need to know about sustainable academics, student eco-initiatives, green school buildings, and college rankings as well as a wide range of related information and resources.

Related
Comprehensive Green School Information and Resources 2010 - 2017
11 Examples of Energy and Cost Savings at K-12 Schools in the US

Kofi Annan's Global Compact: A Proud Legacy of Sustainability

Kofi Annan, the former UN secretary General died in Switzerland on August 18 at the age of 80. He became the first black African secretary general in 1997, and four years later he was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. Born in Kumasi, Ghana, the son of a provincial governor and grandson of two tribal chiefs, Annon had a regal bearing, that was both elegant and dignified. Annan will be remembered as one of the world's most celebrated diplomats. The breadth of his career was considerable spanning his work at the UN and a host of positions in academia. This included being chancellor of the University of Ghana, a fellow at New York's Columbia University, and professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore.

Annan was a leading advocate for climate action. In 2009 an organization led by Annan called the Global Humanitarian Forum, released a study that concluded global warming is causing 300,000 deaths and $125 billion in economic losses annually. The study also predicted that we are running out of time to address the threats we face.

Annan championed peacekeeping and fought poverty, he was a powerful advocate of human rights and development. He helped to make the UN more open and accountable and he set up a formal response to human rights atrocities.

He learned from his failed leadership as a senior UN official during the genocide in Rwanda in 1994 and the massacre in Srebrenica a year later. After becoming secretary general he drew on these experiences to create a doctrine called the "Responsibility to Protect".

Annon was the secretary general from 1997 - 2006 and during this time he led the UN in opposing the war with Iraq in 2003. He is responsible for integrating social issues into the UN's agenda overseeing the creation of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG). He was active in raising funds to fight diseases like AIDS and he set up the first UN counter-terrorism strategy. In 2005 he created the Peacebuilding Commission and the Human Rights Council. He also set up an internal U.N. ethics office

He was involved in the independence of East Timor from Indonesia in 1999 and he helped secure a truce between Israel and Hezbollah in 2006. He also mediated the settlement of a dispute between Cameroon and Nigeria.

After leaving the UN in 2007, he created a foundation that promoted peace, development and human rights. He also championed fair elections and he succeeded in brokering peace in Kenya after 1000 people were killed in election violence. He joined the Elders, an organization created by Nelson Mandala and succeeding Desmond Tutu as its chairman. In 2012 he was named UN Arab League's special envoy to Syria in 2012.

Annon spoke out about the refugee crisis, he promoted good government and advocated for anti-corruption measures. He was also a supporter of sustainability in agriculture and the corporate world. 

GLOBAL COMPACT

The Global Compact may prove to be one of his most enduring legacies, it is arguably his most impactful initiative. The Global Compact defines itself as a "call to companies to align strategies and operations with universal principles on human rights, labour, environment and anti-corruption, and take actions that advance societal goals." They inspire, guide and support companies to act responsibly.

On the environmental front they address risks and leverage opportunities while urging businesses to see how their fates are tied to the planet. On the social front they manage the impacts and opportunities affecting employees, workers in the value chain, customers and communities. On the governance side of things they support economic development leading to good governance and stability.

The Global Compact is also focused on sustainable development. To achieve this goal they leverage financial markets improving investments by proactively managing sustainability risks. They are also stalwart advocates of principled supply chain practices that deliver strong sustainability performance.

To achieve their sustainability goals the Global Compact calls on companies to integrate 10 Principles into corporate values, strategies, policies and procedures. The ultimate goal is to establish a culture of integrity that supports the three tenants of sustainability (people, planet and profit).

Human Rights

Principle 1: Businesses should support and respect the protection of internationally proclaimed human rights;
Principle 2: make sure that they are not complicit in human rights abuses.

Labor

Principle 3: Businesses should uphold the freedom of association and the effective recognition of the right to collective bargaining;
Principle 4: the elimination of all forms of forced and compulsory labour;
Principle 5: the effective abolition of child labour; and
Principle 6: the elimination of discrimination in respect of employment and occupation.

Environment

Principle 7: Businesses should support a precautionary approach to environmental challenges;
Principle 8: undertake initiatives to promote greater environmental responsibility; and
Principle 9: encourage the development and diffusion of environmentally friendly technologies.

Anti-Corruption

Principle 10: Businesses should work against corruption in all its forms, including extortion and bribery.

The vision of the UN Global Compact is to create a sustainable and inclusive global economy that delivers lasting benefits to people, communities and markets. The Global Compact gets involved in helping businesses to reduce their carbon footprints in many ways including the Science-Based Targets Initiative.

The Global Compact is the world's largest corporate sustainability initiative and it has spawned corporate action that has helped to usher sustainability into the mainstream.

Call for Papers - Sustainable Innovation 2019 Conference

Sustainable Innovation 2019 conference: Road to 2030: Sustainability, Business Models, Innovation and Design will take place on March 4-5, 2019, at the Business School, University for the Creative Arts, Epsom, Surrey, UK. The 22nd international conference will provide a platform to discuss future visions of how sustainability will impact on business models, products, services, technologies, innovation and design in 2030.

Sustainable Innovation 2019 will include invited and refereed papers from academics, consultants, entrepreneurs, technology providers, designers, and innovation and sustainability directors.  The participation of people from large companies, SMEs, start-ups, academia, government and NGOs make this a unique space for learning, networking and thinking.

By 2030, the world will be a different place, reacting and responding to a number of mega trends. Thomas L. Friedman in his book "Thank You for Being Late: An Optimist’s Guide to thriving in the Age of Accelerations" highlights that the planet’s three largest forces – Moore’s law (technology), the market (globalisation) and Mother Nature (climate change and biodiversity loss) – are now accelerating all at the same time (Friedman, 2016). More broadly PWC described five mega trends: urbanisation; climate change and resource scarcity; shifts in global economic power, demographic and social change; and technological breakthroughs (PWC, 2017). Both reinforce growing environmental, economic and social mega trends that will have implications for the types of products, services and technologies that will be designed, developed and used into the future.

By 2030, tackling sustainability – particularly climate change, water scarcity and circular economy – will be increasingly important considerations in the design and development of products, services and technologies. A major survey by World Economic Forum (WEF) in 2017 gives a signpost to the future, highlighting that Millennials see climate change and the environment as the top global concerns (49%) for the third year in a row and they are willing to change their lifestyles (78%) to protect the environment (WEF, 2017). How these concerns will feed through to customer and societal requirements for products, services and technologies over the next decade will be an important consideration for design and development. On the flipside, there are likely to be an increasing number of new opportunities for eco-innovative products, services, technologies and new business models that will emerge for pro-active entrepreneurs, innovators and designers.

As concerns over climate change, water scarcity and circular economy increase throughout the 2020s, how will automotive, building, construction, electronics, energy, technology, food, retailing, fashion and clothing sectors respond? Many questions will emerge for entrepreneurs, innovators and designers as we move to 2030: Will execution of the UN Sustainable Development Goals accelerate sustainable innovation? How will the design and development of smarter, sustainable cities impact on the development of products, services and systems? Will increased electrification impact on mobility, freighting and materials movement; how will implementation of Industry 4.0 ‘enabling technologies’ – blockchain, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics – impact on sustainable innovation? Will open innovation and new collaborative approaches enable the development of new sustainable solutions? How will increased diffusion of circularity impact on design, innovation, business models and infrastructure? Will bio-materials innovation increase? what re-skilling and re-training will be needed to enable circular and low carbon futures be realised? And will the convergence of mega trends lead to systemic change?

Conference Topics

Sustainable Innovation 2019 welcomes conceptual and research-based papers focused on future visions of how sustainability will impact on business models, innovation and design in 2030. Papers should cover business models, products, services and/or technology design, and development and commercialisation issues related to the following topics:
  • Radical change
  • Disruptive innovation
  • Market transformation
  • Sustainable consumption & production
  • Green growth & economy
  • Circular economy
  • Low carbon innovation
  • Eco-innovation
  • Product policy
  • (New) business models
  • Product sustainability
  • Re-use, repair & remanufacturing
  • Makers, modifiers & fixers
  • Crowdfunding
  • Open innovation & crowdsourcing
  • Design management & strategies
  • Industry 4.0
  • Product-service-systems (PSS)
  • New technologies & materials
  • Biomimicry
  • Innovation processes
  • Organisational dimensions
  • Product design & development
  • Supply chains & networks
  • Fab labs, makerspaces & repair cafes
  • Incubators & accelerators
  • Tools & methodologies
  • Case studies

Benefits
  • Unique: Forum for new thinking, ideas and concepts
  • Leading-edge: Presentations from key international researchers, practitioners and policy-makers
  • Content: New research, results and thinking
  • Networking: Opportunities to meet leaders from business, government and academia
  • Track-record: Over 2500 delegates from over 50 countries have attended previous events

Submission details

Email, fax or post 500 word abstracts describing your proposed paper by 3rd September 2018. The abstract will then be sent to the Advisory Board for evaluation and authors will be given feedback. The highest ranked papers will be invited to present at the conference. Please only submit abstracts if you have budgets to attend the conference.

Contact coordinates

For more information on Sustainable Innovation 2019 and submitting papers please contact: Professor Martin Charter Director The Centre for Sustainable Design ® University for the Creative Arts UK.

Tel: + 44 (0) 1252 892772 Fax: + 44 (0) 1252 892747
Email: mcharter@ucreative.ac.uk
Website: cfsd.org.uk

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Event - Canadian Sustainable Development Goals Business Forum

Canadian Sustainable Development Goals Business Forum will take place on Friday September 7, 2018, in Toronto, Ontario. The Forum is geared towards helping the Canadian private sector to achieve the objectives of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals. Business leaders will explore sustainability, innovation and collaboration.

This event offers a special platform for business leaders to foster multi-stakeholder dialogues, catalyze new partnerships, and explore innovative solutions to accelerate the SDGs in Canada. The Forum will also focus discussions on some of the key themes from the G7 Summit in Charlevoix, Quebec and the G20 Summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

AGENDA

7:30 am — 8:15 am

Exclusive CEO Breakfast Session

8:30 am — 8:40 am

Welcome remarks by Helle Bank Jorgensen, Global Compact Network Canada Helle Bank Jorgensen, Global Compact Network Canada

8:40 am — 8:55 am

Welcome keynote: The Honourable Elizabeth Dowdeswell, Lieutenant Governor of Ontario The Honourable Elizabeth Dowdeswell, Lieutenant Governor of Ontario

8:55 am — 9:05 am

Welcome remarks by Marcelo Lu, President at BASF Canada and Business representative of the B7 Marcelo Lu, President at BASF Canada and Business representative of the B7

9:05 am — 9:15 am

Opening Keynote: A progressive Canada and the role of the SDGs

H.E. Marc-André Blanchard, Ambassador and Permanent Representative of Canada to the United Nations Marc-André Blanchard, Ambassador and Permanent Representative of Canada to the United Nations

9:15 am — 9:55 am

From G7 to G20:  Leveraging the SDGs for the future of Canada
What are the key takeaways for the Canadian private sector from the G7? The opening session will link the key themes from the G7 and G20 summits to specific SDGs to explore how they can be leveraged to create new opportunities for Canadian businesses given the current global business landscape.

Marc-André Blanchard, Ambassador and Permanent Representative of Canada to the United Nations, Marcelo Lu, President at BASF Canada and Business representative of the B7Lida Preyma, Director, Global AML Risk Management, Bank of Montreal Capital Markets

9:55 am — 10:15 am

Networking break

10:15 am — 10:55 am   

Sustainable business practices and the role of the board. This panel will evaluate the challenges and opportunities of bringing sustainable business practices into the boardroom and how the SDGs can be leveraged as a framework for future growth.

Annette Verschuren, Chair and CEO, NRStor Inc.barbara zvan, chief risk & strategy officer at ontario teachers' pension plan, Nancy Lockhart, Corporate Director, Loblaw Companies Limited, Barrick Gold, Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation, Helle Bank Jorgensen, Global Compact Network Canada

10:55 am — 11:35 am   

Leveraging the SDGs to fuel innovation and prepare for the future of work. Can the SDGs boost disruptive technologies and business models in Canada? Forward-thinking business and policy leaders will explore connections between innovation and the SDGs to facilitate growth and new market opportunities. These leaders will also explore how multiculturalism and the technological revolution are influencing productivity, growth, and employment.

Andree-Lise Methot, Founder and Managing Partner, Cycle Capital Management Candace Laing, Senior Director of Sustainability Stakeholder Relations, Nutrien, Sanjay Khanna, Director and Futurist of Whitespace Legal Collab, Baker McKenzie

11:35 am — 12:15 pm   

The Future of Cities and Communities. What does it look like to be living and working in the cities of the future? This panel will look at the progress Canadian cities are undergoing to shift to a circular economy, as well as the role of businesses to make this change.

Jody Becker, Senior Vice President, Emerging Markets and Chief Strategy Officer, Ellis Don Sebastian Turbot, Executive Director, New Cities Foundation Chief R. Stacey Laforme, Chief of the Mississaugas of the New Credit First Nation

Click here to register.

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Talk - Selling the Sexy Science: A New Narrative on Climate Change

A talk titled Selling the Sexy Science: A New Narrative on Climate Change, will take place Wednesday, September 19, 2018, 12:00 - 1:15 p.m., Memorial Union, Room 207, Arizona State University, Tempe campus.  In today’s media, the future seems ominously uncertain. These “doomsday” narratives on climate change can serve to instill hopeless inaction, rather than spur positive societal change.

In this talk, Jesse Hernreich, will present a contrasting climate-change narrative -- a perspective designed to propel us into positive action on a seemingly overwhelming problem. Hernreich is from the Ecosa Institute, a design school in Prescott, AZ focused on Regenerative Ecological Design.

A light lunch will be served. Click here to register.

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Webcasts - How to Protect Your Business from Global Megaforces

How to Protect Your Business from Global Megaforces: Top Tools for Strategic Growth and Sustainable Wealth, will take place on the 12th, 13th and 14th September 2018 11am -12.30pm PST, 20:00 - 21.30 GMT, 3pm - 4.30pm EST. The is a UN Global Climate Action Summit Affiliate Event.

This 3 hour strategy immersion session will enable you to:

1. Create products and services that do not harm the environment
2. Develop businesses with a social purpose
3. Achieve profitability

The journey begins by understanding how your can reduce your exposure to the risks posed by global megaforces. Dr Lowellyne James will demonstrate how you can use the Sustainable Strategic Growth Model to Learn, Develop, Implement, Optimise and Sustain to transform your organisation. The model has been adopted by managers and business leaders at major international organisations such as Tarmac, Ferrovial Agroman, Asanko Gold and the Scottish Agricultural Organisation Society. 10MF flashcards and copies of the strategy books (Sustainability Footprints in SMEs - Strategy and Case Studies for Entrepreneurs and Small Business) are included in the 3 hour immersion session.



Dr Lowellyne James is a world leading pioneer in the development and creation of sustainability strategy. He is passionate about quality, an author, speaker, academic & consultant who has been active in CSR and sustainability for over 18 years. He has helped businesses to make profits while simultaneously reducing their environmental impact and increasing social purpose. Through his onsite courses and publications he disseminates sustainability best practice to business both large to small.


Click here for more information and to register.

Heat Connects Wildfires to Climate Change

A global heat wave is fueling wildfires from South America to the Arctic Circle.  Research links climate change to heatwaves and drought both of which are important catalysts for wildfires.

As reported by the BBC a recent study suggests that climate change has made heat waves more than twice as likely in Europe. The research concludes that the European heatwave of 2003 was 500% more likely due to climate change and the so-called "Lucifer" heatwave in Eastern Europe was made 10 times more likely by climate change. Studies show how heat and drought make vegetation and trees more combustible. We are even able to link some fires -- like the Canadian wildfires of 2016 -- directly to climate change.

The summer of 2018 is on track to be one of the hottest on record and this has spawned an anomalous number of wildfires. July was the hottest months in one of the hottest years ever recorded. Early in July it was becoming apparent that this was going to be a devastating year for wildfires.

In the first week of July the combination of record breaking heat and drought contributed to more than 30 large fires in 12 western US states. At the end of July there were more than 50 fires burning in 14 western states.  By the end of the month there were more than 140 wildfires burning across the US covering over a million acres. As of August 13 at least 100 wildfires have burnt a million and half acres in the western US alone. As in previous years California is the worst hit state. There are currently more than a dozen active wildfires in the state.

Heat and drought conditions have also created ideal wildfire conditions in Europe. The heat has contributed to a 43 percent increase in fires in Europe compared to the average.

In Greece the situation was perilous. This is the hottest year in recorded Greek history and it has sparked devastating wildfires that  have destroyed towns and caused people to flea into the sea to escape the infernos. At least 91 people have died as a consequence of the Greek wildfires. Last year wildfires killed more than 100 people in Portugal.  This year Portugal is even hotter and wildfires are thought to have killed at least 43 people so far.

Increasing levels of heat are making forests more prone to fires and lengthening the fire season. Wildfire season in the American west is now nearly four months longer than it was just 40 years ago, and the average wildfire is burning six times more forest area than it did in the 1970s.

Wildfires have destroyed tens of thousands of homes and businesses. The cost of these losses as well as the cost of fighting these fires amounts to tens of billions of dollars. In addition to destroying land and property the smoke and ash kill people and compromise health adding to the financial burden of wildfires. As reported by Fortune, the cost of the 2017 fires in northern California may end up exceeding $2.5 billion in insurance claims alone.

There was a time when we would be careful not to directly link extreme weather events to climate change. However, advances in attribution science are making it possible for us to say that anthropogenic climate change id playing a role. Longer summers, more intense drought, and higher temperatures are all linked to greater fire risk.

A 2016 study published in the peer-reviewed journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) links climate change to the increase in wildfires over recent decades. The study from Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory. concluded that over the last 30 years climate change has doubled the area affected by forest fires in the western U.S. They found that 55 percent of the increase in fuel aridity expected to lead to fires could be attributed to human-influenced climate change. Since 1970 there has bee a 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit temperature increase in the western US and this drives fire by drying out the land. Warmer air sucks the moisture out of plants, trees, dead vegetation, and soil.

Heat dries out vegetation and this provides fuel for the fires. This heat also contributes to the proliferation of certain insects that kill trees and add even more fodder to the flames. Wildfires are on the increase for a number of reasons but climate change is surely one of them.

The July fires mark the beginning of a fire season that is expected to peak in August and not relent until October. 

Ongoing heat, drought and the growing prospect of an El Niño does not bode well.  Mark Finney, a research forester with the U.S. Forest Service warned that the worst fires are yet to come.

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Extreme Midsummer Heat in the Northern Hemisphere

Marked by record setting heatwaves in July, this has been an unusually hot summer in the northern hemisphere. All around the world we are seeing evidence of longer and more intense heatwaves. The temperature data over the last three decades clearly indicate that the world is getting warmer and 2018 is no exception. If the trend continues this will be one of the warmest years on record alongside 2015, 2016, and 2017.

July was the hottest month in one of the hottest summers in recorded history. This follows June which was the second warmest on record. Millions of people around the world are trapped in heat domes that are causing protracted heat waves.  Concurrent record setting heat plagued cities across North America, Europe, Asia and Africa.

At the end of June Quriyat, Oman recorded the highest low temperature ever recorded anywhere on earth. The temperature reached 122° F (50 C) during the day and did not drop below 109° F (42.6° C) at night. Early in July we saw all-time high heat records set at Mount Washington, New Hampshire, and Tbilisi, Georgia. Also in July Ouargla, Algeria saw temperatures of 124.3° F (51.3° C) which is the highest temperature ever recorded in Africa.

Especially intense heat waves struck Japan killing 86 people and sending tens of thousands of others to hospital. On July 23, a record was broken when the mercury hit 41.1° C (106° F) in Kumagaya, northwest of Tokyo. In Montreal, Canada more than 50 people died as a result of a protracted heatwave that set records with temperatures approximating 100° F (37.7° C). Other normally temperate climates that are being baked by anomalous heat waves include Ireland and Scotland. In parts of Siberia temperatures were as much as 40 degrees above normal.

High temperature records were also set in Burlington, Vermont, Denver, Colorado and Ottawa, Canada. Los Angeles and several other places in California set records as vast swaths of the state burned

In Europe high temperature records were set in Glasgow, Shannon, Belfast and Castlederg. Eurasia saw records set in Tbilisi, Georgia and Yerevan, Armenia. Several locations in southern Russia topped or matched their warmest temperatures. Early in August a total of 8 separate locations broke all time high temperature records in Portugal reaching as high as 116.6° F (47° C) in some places.

According to the Huffington Post a recent study states that we are at risk of creating "hothouse" conditions with temperature increases of as much as 9° F (5° C) above global average temperatures.

As explained by climate researcher Phil Williamson, from the University of East Anglia, this is an urgent warning. "In the context of the summer of 2018" Williamson said, "this is definitely not a case of crying wolf, raising a false alarm: the wolves are now in sight".

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