Showing posts with label impacts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label impacts. Show all posts

Tackling the Problem of Plastic Waste on World Oceans Day

June 8 is World Oceans Day an opportunity to reflect on the importance of our oceans as well as solutions to the numerous threats they face. In 2017 the action focus is plastic pollution. Our oceans are indispensable to life of Earth and fate of humanity is intimately tied to their well-being. Our oceans are hotter and more acidic and they are increasingly unable to serve as carbon sinks. Coral reefs are dying and entire aquatic ecosystems are being destroyed. Norwegian billionaire and ocean advocate Kjell Inge Røkke aptly summarized situation when he said, "the oceans are also under greater pressure than ever before from overfishing, coastal pollution, habitat destruction, climate change and ocean acidification, and one of the most pressing challenges of all, plasticization of the ocean. The need for knowledge and solutions is pressing."

Many of these issues are intertwined. For example global warming appears to be contributing to an alarming decline in the amount of dissolved oxygen in the world's ocean. Low ocean oxygen is part of a feedback loop which sees microorganisms produce the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide. These effects could lead to ocean dead zones that are deadly for a number of marine organisms. It could even lead to a complete breakdown of aquatic food chains. These are some of the findings in a large research synthesis conducted by oceanographer Sunke Schmidtko and two colleagues from the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research in Kiel, Germany. The research was published in the journal Nature.

Market growth

Plastic (celluloid) was invented by John Wesley Hyatt in 1869, however it was the invention and mass manufacturing of cheap oil based plastic in the 1960s that has led our current crisis. In 1965 we were producing about 15 million tons of plastic each year we now produce more than 300 million tons every year.

The plastic market has averaged 5 percent growth per year since 2000 primarily in packaging. Between 2000 and 2015, plastic used in packaging grew from 17 percent of market share to 25 percent. Plastic is now a $427 billion industry in the US alone. It employs nearly one million American workers and it is the third largest US manufacturing industry. Estimates indicate that if the trend continues by 2050 there will be more plastic in the ocean, by weight, than fish.

Existential threat

Yayat Supriatna, an urban planning scholar who has advised the Indonesian government said, "People don’t understand how dangerous plastic can be." Plastic is toxic and can be deadly. It is estimated that one million seabirds and 100,000 marine mammals and sea turtles become entrapped in plastic or ingest it and die each year. Plastic is already killing millions of creatures and there is mounting evidence to suggest that plastic may be an existential threat to our species.

Plastic has become ubiquitous because it is cheap, lightweight, strong and durable. Its cheapness is due to the fact that we found a way to make it with oil. Its strength and durability are what makes it so dangerous. Plastic bottles in the ocean will not break down for 4 centuries and even then it lives eternally on as "poisonous confetti".

In 2016 a couple of sperm whales washed up on shores of Germany having starved to death due to a belly full of plastic. This is a redux of a whale found dead in the waters off the Greek isle of Mykonos in 2011. Whales are just one of many creatures that are threatened by plastic waste.

As quoted in a PRI investigative piece, oceanographer Curtis Ebbesmeyer, the man who coined the term "gyres" said, plastic pollution, "makes global warming look like child’s play". He suggests that plastic may even threaten the survival of some species including humans.

He explained the pervasive nature of the threat by saying, "We’re all infected with plastic...Molecules from some kid’s plastic bottle, dropped into the ocean in Asia, are winding up in the food Americans eat." This, Ebbesmeyer said could interfere with reproduction in a number of studies including humans.

There has been a marked decline in sperm counts which some have attributed to plastic pollution. This includes the carcinogenic synthetic estrogen imitators contained in Bisphenol A (BPA). Almost everybody has traces of BPA in their bodies. Research suggests that exposure to plastics can even impact the fertility of subsequent generations. Biological scientist, Frederick vom Saal, told Mother Jones magazine, "A poison kills you. A chemical like BPA reprograms your cells and ends up causing a disease in your grandchild that kills him."

Sizable problem

The scope of the problem is mind boggling. There are massive, swirling patches of plastic in our oceans. Some of the gyres hold around 400,000 plastic particles per square kilometre.

We continue to add 8 million tons of plastic to the oceans every year. There are 5.2 trillion bits of plastic in the sea. The problem is growing so fast that in the not too distant future plastic could soon cover half the planet’s surface. In some places there is six times more plastic in the water than plankton. The problem is growing so fast that in the not too distant future plastic could soon cover half the planet’s surface. In some places there is six times more plastic in the water than plankton.

Americans throw out more than 45,000 plastic bottles per minute or 2.5 million plastic bottles per hour. Globally people use roughly one million plastic bags per minute.

Plastic is now everywhere on the planet. Researchers from Australia’s University of Tasmania and the Royal Society for the Protection of Birds found 18 tonnes of plastic garbage (239 items per square metre) scattered across a small South Pacific island 5,000 kilometers from the nearest human occupation.

The threats associated with plastics are significant. University of Tasmania researcher Jennifer Lavers said plastic in the oceans could be as great a threat as climate change. "You put carbon dioxide into the atmosphere or plastic in the oceans and both will stick around," she told New Scientist.

According to an aerial survey by inventor Boyan Slat the problem of plastic pollution in our oceans is worse than we thought. The survey of the Great Pacific Garbage Patch, collected over 1,000 large pieces of garbage in under 2 hours.

Government action

France has announced that it is banning all plastic bags, plastic utensils, cups, and dishes by 2020. At the end of 2015, US President Barack Obama signed a bill requiring that American manufacturers end the use of microbeads in products by July 1, 2017 and end the sale of products containing microbeads in by July 1, 2018. In June 2016 Canada's federal government decision added plastic microbeads to the Schedule 1 list of toxic substances under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act (CEPA), enabling the government to regulate and ultimately ban the substance.

Oceans are not being protected as they should. Taking a page from the oil industry the US the plastics industry lobbyists have been successful petitioned government in an effort to minimize regulatory oversight.

The patchwork of laws and agreements, along with uneven enforcement are problematic. We also must deal with the difficult issue of waters outside national jurisdictions. We need more protections, more science and more transparency.

Business

The problem of plastic waste is a business problem that must be solved by business innovation. Western multinationals like Proctor & Gamble and Unilever, Nestle and Coca-Cola produce much of the world's plastic waste. However, thus far too little is being done to address the problem. "The corporations may offer a bit of charity here and there," Yayat says. "But they don’t really help. They’ll say the environment is the government’s responsibility."

There are powerful incentives driving corporate action. The sustainable plastic market was estimated to have reached $142.42 billion in 2015. In a Triple Pundit article about the new plastic economy Leon Kaye makes the point that the business community needs to drive a transition in the plastics industry.

"There is a large consensus that the plastics economy needs a fundamental rethink and redesign," said Rob Opsomer, the New Plastics Economy Lead with the Ellen MacArthur Foundation, "and that the New Plastics Economy sets an economically and environmentally attractive direction to make that happen."

The single-use plastics industry contributes anywhere from $80 billion to $120 billion in material value losses annually. Further, as referenced above plastic polutes natural environment. This and other environmental problems associated with single-use plastic cost the global economy at least $40 billion a year.

Innovation

There are a number of innovations from the corporate sector that may help. In 2012 Italian company Bio-on unveiled a bioplastics polymer that is 100 percent biodegradable in water and soil. S.C. Johnson & Son Inc. launched an initiative to help build the infrastructure to eventually make Ziploc packaging bags widely recyclable via curbside recycling programs. Ford has replaced plastic car parts with parts made from carbon dioxide. Craft brewery is now making its six pack holders with an edible and biodegradable alternative made of barley and wheat remnants from the brewing process.

In April of this year, the BBC's Helen Briggs reported on a caterpillar that eats plastic.  Researchers at Cambridge University have discovered a plastic eating moth larvae (Galleria mellonella) that breaks down plastic's chemical bonds. It is hoped that researchers may be able to identify microbes in the caterpillar that could be used to dispose of plastic waste in an environmentally friendly fashion. The research was published in the journal, Current Biology.

Alternatives

We know that plastic is very useful, what we need is an alternative to oil based plastics that are not so environmentally harmful. This is especially important in light of the fact that only 14 percent of plastic is currently being recycled. So in addition to doing a much better job of recycling we need to make biodegradable plastics that do not use oil.

A Trucost sustainability focused life cycle report says that plastics cost $139 billion each year. However, it also suggests that plastic alternatives may be worse for the environment. The American Chemistry Council (ACC) funded report is titled, "Plastics and Sustainability: A Valuation of Environmental Benefits, Costs, and Opportunities for Continuous Improvement." The report drew on natural capital assessments and found the environmental cost of using plastics in consumer goods and packaging to be almost 4 times less than existing alternatives (glass, tin, aluminum and paper). In terms of dollar amounts, the report says that non-plastic alternatives comes with environmental costs of $533 billion annually compared to $139 billion with plastics.

However, there are other potentially viable alternatives. One renewable possibility includes hemp and other fast-growing plants containing cellulose. Companies including IBM, Ford and Dell are working to develop viable alternatives to plastics for use in products and packaging. IBM researchers said they have found a way to create cheaper, biodegradable plastic from plants. This follows a plastics recycling process IBM researchers announced last year.

We also need to be wary of false solutions. For example so called compostable plastics are not quite as helpful as it would seem. As explained by Danny Clark, "compostable plastics don’t breakdown and convert into compost or result in nutrient rich soil as the process and name would lead one to believe." Rather than put carbon into the soil, compostable plastics add CO2 (the most abundant greenhouse gas) to the atmosphere.

Circular economy

If it could be made to be viable the circular economy offers the most hope of reducing plastic waste.  The European Commission announced its Circular Economy Action Plan, which is working towards closing the loop on plastics. At a recent World Economic Forum (WEF)in Davos, the Ellen MacArthur Foundation launched the "New Plastics Economy initiative" with the report, "The New Plastics Economy: Rethinking the future of plastics."

As reported by Environmental Leader, this plastics initiative is designed to increase recycling and reuse as well as increase the use of bioplastics. This initiative enjoys the support of some major companies including Amcor, Unilever, Coca-Cola, Dow Chemical and Mars. The launch followed a report that pointed to $3.5 billion in potential environmental savings.

As reported by Thomas Schueneman, new prizes are inspiring innovation. On May 18th 2017, the Ellen MacArthur Foundation announced a $2 million plastics innovation prize in partnership with the Prince of Wales’s International Sustainability Unit. This initiative includes support from more than 40 organizations, including Core Partners Amcor, Coca-Cola, Danone, Mars, Novamont, PepsiCo, Unilever and Veolia. The two part $1 million Circular Design Challenge invites applicants to rethink how we can get products to people without generating plastic waste.

"Working towards circularity in the way we make, use, and distribute plastic packaging will revolutionize the scale of the human footprint on our planet," said Wendy Schmidt, who has already funded two major XPrize competitions focused on oceans. "The value of keeping materials in the economy is massive compared to the losses we suffer when plastic leaks into the very living systems we depend upon for our survival. The New Plastics Economy Prize is a call for creative design and technical innovation at a critical time."

People making a difference

Norwegian billionaire Kjell Inge Røkke has made a fortune from shipping and offshore drilling. He is building the largest and heaviest yacht in the world. What makes this ship exceptional is the fact that it can extract up to five tons of plastic from the ocean every day. Norway's World Wildlife Fund (WWF), will manage the ship which will also be a floating scientific lab for 60 scientists and 40 crew. The ship called Research Expedition Vessel (REV) is scheduled to be completed in 2020 has a number of ecological features that will minimize its footprint. This includes an energy recovery rudder system, medium speed engines, a direct drive diesel-electric propulsion system with battery package, an exhaust cleaning system, ballast water treatment system, low noise, WWF FSC certified woods, and lighting from LEDs.

Related
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Water Scarcity and the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse
Assessing the Value of Our Oceans

Video - Arctic Emergency: Scientists on Melting Arctic Ice



In this video climate scientists address how rising temperatures in the Arctic are contributing the melting sea ice, thawing permafrost, and destabilization of a system that has been called "Earth's Air Conditioner". They make the point that global warming is here and is impacting weather patterns, natural systems, and human life around the world - and the Arctic is central to these impacts.

Scientists featured in the film include:

- Jennifer Francis, PhD. Atmospheric Sciences Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences, Rutgers University.

- Ron Prinn, PhD. Chemistry TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

- Natalia Shakhova, PhD. Marine Geology International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska-Fairbanks.

- Kevin Schaefer, PhD. Research Scientist, National Snow and Ice Data Center.

- Stephen J. Vavrus, PhD. Atmospheric Sciences Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison

- Nikita Zimov, Northeast Science Station, Russian Academy of Sciences.

- Jorien Vonk, PhD. Applied Environmental Sciences Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University

- Jeff Masters, PhD. Meteorology Director, Weather Underground

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Environmental Tipping Points

Plastic Waste in Our Oceans: Problems and Solutions

The sheer volume of plastic and other trash that is floating in our oceans made the hunt for Malaysia Airlines flight 370 far more difficult. The search for the missing airliner has been a harrowing affair. After weeks of sifting through ocean refuse, the armada of ships combing the Indian ocean now claim to be zeroing in on pings that may be emanating from the missing airliner's black boxes. However, this search was hampered by the tons of garbage that are strewn across our oceans.

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One of the unexpected corollaries of the search for Malaysia Airlines flight 370 has been the increase in public awareness about the tons of garbage that litter our oceans. In the first few weeks after the March 8 disappearance of the passenger jet, searchers scoured huge swaths of the Indian Ocean, and found nothing but garbage. In the process of looking for wreckage from the plane, we received almost daily reports of possible debris from satellite images. These finds turned out to be nothing more than floating piles of trash.

The five ocean gyres


There are five massive garbage gyres, one is located in the Indian Ocean, two in the Pacific Ocean and another two in the Atlantic Ocean. Garbage gyres come together as the trash gets caught in circular ocean currents. This causes stray garbage to move until they collide and merge with one another.
University of New South Whales Researcher Erik Van Sebille has suggested there may be a sixth garbage patch forming in the Arctic Circle in the Barents Sea.

Plastic debris


These garbage gyres are made up of everything from appliances to cargo containers, but they are composed mostly of plastic including around 3.5 million tons of beverage bottles and grocery bags. Plastic constitutes 90 percent of all trash floating in the world’s oceans. The United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) estimated that in 2006, every square mile of ocean hosted 46,000 pieces of floating plastic.

Van Sebille said each of these gyres, “contains so much plastic that if you were to drag a net through these areas you would pull up more plastic than biomass.”

Plastic waste in the oceans poses a serious environmental problem. UV rays from the sun and salt from the sea water cause the plastic to break down, which releases chemicals into the water that then enter the food system according to the Scripps Institute at the University of California San Diego.

Plastic poses some unique problems for ocean ecosystems. Some plastics decompose within a year of entering the water, leaching to potentially toxic chemicals such as bisphenol A, PCBs, and derivatives of polystyrene.

Unlike organic debris, plastic does not biodegrade. The plastic in these debris fields will last for hundreds of years. Over time, plastic in the oceans disintegrates into ever smaller pieces while remaining a polymer. This process continues down to the molecular level and concentrates in the upper water column. Plastic pollution in the form of small particles (diameter less than 5 mm) is called “microplastics.”

Wildlife impacts and the food chain


According to UNEP, at least 267 species worldwide are impacted by plastic debris in the oceans. As the plastic disintegrates, it ultimately becomes small enough to be ingested by a wide range of life forms. Plastics are deadly to a number of species including marine birds and sea turtles. Various investigations including research by Charles Moore found that in some places the overall concentration of plastics was seven times greater than the concentration of zooplankton. Plastics enter the food chain when ingested by aquatic organisms and the impacts go all the way up the chain to humans.

Researchers have discovered that floating debris can also absorb organic pollutants from seawater, including PCBs, DDT, and PAHs. When consumed, plastic has both toxic effects and disruptive impacts on the endocrine system.

Source of debris


It is crudely estimated that 80 percent of the garbage comes from land-based sources and 20 percent is from ships. According to a 2011 EPA report titled, Marine Debris in the North Pacific:
“The primary source of marine debris is the improper waste disposal or management of trash and manufacturing products, including plastics (e.g., littering, illegal dumping) … Debris is generated on land at marinas, ports, rivers, harbors, docks, and storm drains. Debris is generated at sea from fishing vessels, stationary platforms and cargo ships.”
Much of the land-based sources of ocean waste originates from the great rivers from around the world

Size of debris fields


According to some media reports, ocean borne garbage is up to “twice the size of the continental United States”. Although these estimates are hardly precise, they range from 700,000 square kilometres (270,000 sq mi) to more than 15,000,000 square kilometres (5,800,000 sq mi).

Investigations, raising awareness and cleanup efforts


There are a wide range of innovative efforts to raise awareness about ocean garbage and cleanup these debris fields. In 2008, a sailing voyage called the “Junk Raft” sought to raise awareness with a three month voyage across the Pacific. Also in 2008, Richard Sundance Owen formed the Environmental Cleanup Coalition (ECC) a collaborative effort to address the issue of North Pacific pollution. They work on developing methods to safely remove plastic and persistent organic pollutants from the oceans.

In 2009, Project Kaisei launched a cleanup study that included two vessels that set out to research and assess the feasibility of commercial scale collection and recycling of ocean borne garbage.

Another 2009 investigation titled the SEAPLEX expedition, involved a 19 day ocean journey by a group of researchers from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. They spent 19 days studying the distribution of plastic in the gyre which resulted in the most rigorous study to date.

In 2012, Dutch Aerospace Engineering student Boyan Slat unveiled a concept for removing large amounts of marine debris. He subsequently formed an organization called The Ocean Cleanup. This approach is not only cost effective, it is potentially profitable. His idea involves an anchored network of booms that world work like a giant funnel. Propelled by the ocean’s surface currents, debris would drift into specially designed arms and collection platforms where it would be separated from plankton and recycled. Slat’s calculations suggest that using his methods, 7.25 million tons of plastic can be removed from garbage gyres in as little as five years.

South Korean designer Sung Jin Cho has conceived of another innovative approach to removing plastic waste from water. His concept is known as the Seawer Skyscraper. This massive yet portable, self-supported solar-hydro power station, generates electricity using seawater while removing plastic waste. The Seawer filters ocean water and removes plastics and other particles which are recycled in an onboard plant. The purified seawater is stored in a large sedimentation tank at the bottom of the structure before it is released back into the ocean.

Despite these creative approaches to removing debris from the world’s oceans, they will not be able to reach the majority of plastic which have accumulated on the ocean floor.

Of the more than 200 billion pounds of plastic the world produces each year, about 10 percent ends up in the ocean. Much of which (approximately 70 percent) sinks to the bottom and harms life on the ocean floor.

In the North Sea alone, Dutch scientists have counted around 110 pieces of litter for every square kilometre of the seabed. This amounts to a staggering 600,000 tonnes in the North Sea alone. This garbage can smother the sea bottom and kill the marine life.

While efforts to clean up the plastics are laudable, they are not a definitive solution. Plastics break down into smaller polymers and suspend underneath the surface or on the ocean floor making them hard to see and difficult to clean up.

Plastic waste comes from almost every country in the world which makes ocean garbage an international problem requiring international solutions. While we can dispose of our waste more responsibly, the problem extends far beyond waste management. With Around 100 million tonnes of plastic products being produced each year, we need to find solutions at the source.

We need to find alternatives to conventional plastics that are biodegradable and do not contain harmful chemicals.

Source: Global Warming is Real

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Implications of Arctic Heat: Less Ice and More Global Warming

The Arctic continues to warm and ocean sea ice continues to retreat at an alarming pace. This has dramatic implications that are both global and local. Arctic ice has been both retreating and thinning in volume for four decades.

As reported in the Ecologist, the latest study by Stroeve et al. from the University College London, was published in Geophysical Research Letters. This study shows that the ice-free period is increasing by 5 days every decade. In some regions of the Arctic, the autumn freeze is now up to 11 days later every decade.

The research examined satellite imagery of the Arctic for the last 30 years. They found that the ice is melting and the increasing exposure to sunlight means that greater quantities of energy are being absorbed by the Earth.

"The extent of sea ice in the Arctic has been declining for the last four decades", said Professor Stroeve. "And the timing of when melt begins and ends has a large impact on the amount of ice lost each summer."
The Arctic is now warmer now than it has been for 40 millennia. This has a cascade of negative impacts which are both local and global.

Globally a warmer Arctic translates to less sea ice which means less reflection of sunlight and more absorption which translates to more heat. This is known as the albedo effect which is defined as the amount of solar energy (shortwave radiation) reflected from the Earth back into space. It is a measure of the reflectivity of the earth's surface. The lower the albedo the more we can expect planetary temperatures to increase. Locally this warming threatens the animals that depend for their existence on a stable cycle of seasons.

The rate of acceleration suggests that the polar ocean could be entirely free of ice in late summer in the next four decades. When ice loss is factored from the perspective of the albedo effect, this will further accelerate global warming.

© 2014, Richard Matthews. All rights reserved.

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Alaska's Record Breaking Heat in January Offers More Evidence for a Dramatically Warmer Arctic

While the continental US was being slammed with a succession of cold spells and winter storms in January, Alaska was experiencing some of the hottest temperatures ever recorded for the month. Temperatures were as much as 40°F (22°C) above normal. The all-time warmest January temperature ever observed in Alaska was tied on January 27 when the temperature peaked at 62°F (16.7°C) in Port Alsworth.

The NASA map (above left) shows the temperature anomalies in Alaska for January 23–30, 2014. Those areas which experienced higher than average temperatures compared to the 2001–2010 average for the same week are highlighted in red. The map is based on data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite.

The record heat and rain caused rivers to rise and avalanches which buried highways under as much as 100 feet (30 meters) of snow. The warmer temperatures were caused by a persistent ridge of high pressure off the Pacific Coast.

These findings are consistent with the general warming trend being observed in the Arctic. A recent University of Waterloo study of more than 400 lakes of the North Slope of Alaska, found less ice and a shorter ice season in 2011 compared with 1950. Over the same time-span, the winter ice season has been reduced by almost one month (24 days). Lakes in the region froze almost six days later and broke up about 18 days earlier in the winter of 2011 compared to the winter of 1950. The ice has also gotten 38 centimeters thinner over that period.

© 2014, Richard Matthews. All rights reserved.

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Save the Arctic from a "Death Spiral"

In last 30 years, we’ve lost as much as three-quarters of the floating sea ice cover at the top of the world. Satellite images reveal that the volume of that summer sea ice in the Arctic has shrunk so fast that scientists say it’s now in a ‘death spiral’. Due to human activities, primarily the burning of fossil fuels, the Arctic may soon be ice free in the summer for the first time in over 800,000 years.

This will be devastating for polar bears, narwhals, walruses and other species that live there. It will also have profoundly destructive consequences for people all around the world as the Arctic helps to regulate global weather patterns and as a consequence has a powerful impact on global agriculture.

It is a tragic irony that the dirty energy companies that are causing the Arctic to warm at twice the rate of the rest of the world, are also looking to plunder oil and other resources that lie underneath the disappearing ice.

Arctic ecosystems are among the most fragile on Earth and according to recently declassified government documents, dealing with oil spills in the freezing waters is “almost impossible.” If there is one thing we have learned it is that spills are unavoidable and in the Arctic this will be far more destructive than anywhere else on the planet.

We cannot allow the Arctic to be exploited for its natural resources. We cannot allow the loss of the indiginous people's way of life by giant fishing companies. They have fished sustainably in the Arctic for thousands of years.

As part of its efforts to defend the Arctic, Greenpeace is asking people to sign a petition to create a global sanctuary around the North Pole, ban offshore drilling and other destructive industries in the Arctic. Thirty years ago they launched a similar campaign to protect the Antarctic. They were instrumental in helping to create a world park around the South Pole, now they are asking for people to come together to do the same for the Arctic Ocean.

Help Greenpeace to ban destructive industries in the Arctic and create a global sanctuary around the North Pole dedicated to peace and science. Join millions of people around the world and sign the petition to protect the Arctic.

Click here for more information.

© 2014, Richard Matthews. All rights reserved.

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Global Warming Predictions for 2014 and Beyond

It does not take much more than a basic understanding of climate science to appreciate that global warming will continue to have far reaching impacts in 2014 and beyond. Here is a review of some of the well known impacts predicted by climate models. This includes higher atmospheric levels of CO2, warmer temperatures, melting ice, flooding, the spread of infectious diseases, diminished water quality, decreased food production, excessive heat and other extreme weather events.

More Emissions

The planet currently absorbs half our CO2 emissions. However, the level of CO2 absorption is expected reach a saturation point where the oceans and other carbon sinks will no longer be able to naturally sequester CO2.

Melting Ice and Rising Seas

In the Northern Hemisphere ice cover should decrease further, while the Antarctic ice sheet may increase somewhat. The Arctic Ocean was not expected to melt until the end of the century, but current trends suggest it will melt within a decade or two. Greenland's ice is melting at a much faster rate than expected. Melting ice is expected to contribute to sea level rises between 9 and 88 cm (3.5" to 35").

Disease

Global warming is also predicted to increase the spread of infectious diseases. Specifically, scientists predict an increase in the number of people exposed to vector borne diseases (e.g. cholera).

Water Quality

Climate change will tend to degrade water quality through higher water temperatures and increased pollutant load from runoff and overflows of waste facilities.

Food

Some had hoped that global warming would increase food production by providing more arable land to plant crops. However, we can expect that in 2014 food prices will continue to climb soaring as we experience more extreme weather that devastates crops.

Heat

Climate models predict more frequent and more intense heat waves and drought. If the worst climate predictions are realised, vast swathes of the globe could become too hot for humans to survive. Global mean temperature should increase by between 1.4 and 5.8 C (2.5 to 10 F). The severe heat is expected to lead to an increase in heat stress mortality.

Extreme Weather

A warming planet will continue to increase the amount of moisture in the atmosphere and this will fuel more extreme weather events. Projected adverse impacts include more storm surges causing flooding that could impact tens of millions of people. Intense storms including hurricanes and cyclones are also anticipated.

© 2013, Richard Matthews. All rights reserved.

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Event - Creating a GMO-Free Holiday

Creating a GMO-Free Holiday will take place on December 19, 2013, from 6:30 pm - 8 pm at Collingswood Library, 771 Haddon Avenue, Collingswood, New Jersey. GMO Free NJ meets to explore ways to avoid the genetically modified organisms that are in our food supply.

From 7-8, they will discuss creating a GMO free holiday, the latest on GMO labeling legislation and other projects.
From 6:30-7, we will have a holiday cookie exchange. Participation in the cookie swap is optional--bring a batch of your favorite non-GMO cookies to share (along with an ingredients list) and leave with a variety pack!

There will be plenty of time to mix and mingle. Free and open to the public.

To learn more click here, to RSVP write to GMOfreeNJ@gmail.com.

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Talk - The Race to the North Pole: Climate Change and Biodiversity in Canada

The race to the North Pole: climate change and biodiversity in Canada will take place on Wednesday, December 11, 2013, at the University of Ottawa, Biosciences Complex – RM 140, 30 Marie Curie St., Ottawa, Ontario. The reception will take place at 6 pm and the presentation will commence at 7 pm. Parking is available in parking lot V (In front of Marion Hall). The Faculty of Science at the University of Ottawa is pleased to invite National Capital Region community members to this special evening with Department of Biology professor Jeremy Kerr (BSc ’93 – Biology).

Jeremy Kerr was recently appointed as the University Chair in Macroecology and Conservation Biology. Professor Kerr will give an exhilarating talk entitled

“The race to the North Pole: climate change and biodiversity in Canada.”

The evening will be an opportunity to learn from one of the University of Ottawa Faculty of Science’s rising stars.

For more information contact Kyle Bournes:
Phone: 613-562-5800 ext. 7946
E-mail: kbournes@uOttawa.ca

To RSVP click here.

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Video - Superstorm Sandy Costs Tens of Billions More than Original Estimates



Less than one month before the one-year anniversary of Superstorm Sandy many New Jersey residents, businesses and communities have learned that the costs of Sandy are much higher than the tens of billions originally estimated. Monday, US Strong will release a new report, Extreme Weather, Extreme Costs: The True Financial Impact of Superstorm Sandy on New Jersey Homeowners, Businesses and Municipalities, that helps clarify just how high that cost is. The report details the true financial costs of Sandy to homeowners, businesses and communities—and includes stories and interviews with impacted individuals.

Click here to see the report.

Superstorm Sandy slammed into North America in late October 2012 and approximately one year later Superstorm Haiyan, perhaps the strongest storm ever to make landfall, struck Asia. People are asking questions about extreme weather and the relationship to climate change. Fueled by warmer seas caused by global warming these destructive weather anomalies are certain to increase as the world gets warmer.

We know for sure that extreme weather comes with extreme cost and according to Nasa scientists the situation will get worse as the planet warms.

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Video - Cost of Extreme Weather in September 2013 in the US and Around the World



Almost two months before Super-typhoon Haiyan struck the Philipines, WeatherNationTV Chief Meteorologist Paul Douglas goes over the cost of severe weather. As reviewed in the video, billion of dollars of damage was caused by flooding in China, Russia, the Philippines, and Pakistan. Extreme winter conditions were reported in South America as well as drought and hail which damaged crops in the US.

Superstorm Sandy slammed into North America in late October 2012 and approximately one year later Superstorm Haiyan, perhaps the strongest storm ever to make landfall, struck Asia. People are asking questions about extreme weather and the relationship to climate change. Fueled by warmer seas caused by global warming these destructive weather anomalies are certain to increase as the world gets warmer.

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