Showing posts with label congressional elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label congressional elections. Show all posts

Environmental Issues in Six Key Senate Races

Although Republican gains are considered likely in the Senate, control of that chamber probably will come down to the outcome of contests in Nevada, Colorado, Illinois, West Virginia, California and Washington.


NEVADA

In Nevada, the race is too close to call, the turnout may end up being the deciding factor. In this battle to the wire, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid faces Republican Sharron Angle, the tea party candidate who raised $14 million in the past quarter. During the Nevada Senate debate, Reid and Angle predictably clashed over the environment and how best to create jobs.

COLORADO

The Colorado Senate race is almost neck-and-neck, with Democrat Michael Bennet inching closer to Republican Ken Buck. Turnout could be the deciding factor in this campaign as well with 72% of Republicans saying they are certain to vote, compared with just 55% of Democrats.

Colorado's Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet bills himself as "the best senator money can't buy" and blasts ruling Democrats as being too timid on the environment. He believes the government must act aggressively to reduce greenhouse gases and drive the expansion of renewable energy through tax subsidies and the use of federal land. GOP challenger and Tea Party favorite Buck barely acknowledges that there is such a thing as the environment. Buck has openly challenged the science behind global climate change and believes the federal government should keep out of state energy policies.

ILLINOIS

In Illinois, there is a back and forth race to the bottom between Republican Mark Kirk and Democrat Alexi Giannoulias. At Chicago’s senate debate, Giannoulias opening remarks included a comment that acknowled the, "failure to address our environmental challenges."

WEST VIRGINIA

Although Democrats chances have improved in West Virginia, most polls give Republican John Raese a 7-10 point lead over his Democratic opponent Joe Manchin III. During a talk to 45 people at the Inter-Service Club luncheon at the Charleston Civic Center, Raese called for an end to laws regulating air quality, water pollution and minimum wages." In his appearance before Charleston's merged civic clubs, Raese said he would abolish federal pollution controls-apparently meaning that polluters could dump all the poisonous waste they want into people's drinking water and the air they breathe. In fairness, Manchin is also trying to attempting to capitalize on West Virginians’ fears and ignorance. In a political stunt that appears to be designed to appeal to the Tea Party, Manchin, actually fired a bullet through last year’s House-passed bill that included provisions for cap-and-trade.

CALIFORNIA

The California contest for the Senate pits Democrat Barbara Boxer against Republican Carly Fiorina. Boxer currently leads this race by a very slight margin. Boxer is currently chief deputy majority whip, Boxer is known for her outspoken support of environmental protection. The California Senate debate revealed some of the sharpest differences over the question of whether environmental regulation can create jobs. Fiornina wants the state's landmark climate change law to be put on hold. Californians will also be voting on Proposition 23.

WASHINGTON

The Polls in Washington state show the incumbent Democrat has a small lead and the chances of defeating Republican challenger Dino Rossi have improved. Three-term Democratic Sen. Patty Murray has shown her support for environmental sustainability including securing $2 million for algae research at WSU last year. These funds will be used to develop new strategies for the production of renewable fuel sources.

In most of these races there are clear choice between candidates with a strong environmental record and candidates who are beholden to the old energy economy. In the end voter turnout is likely to be a key deciding factor, victory may go to whichever party succeeds in mobilizing a larger percentage of their base.


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The 2010 Midterms and the Fight Against Climate Change
Election 2010 Midterm Predictions
Democrat's Chances in the 2010 Midterms
Republican Political Finance and the Midterm Elections
Republican Strategy for the 2010 Midterms and Beyond
Republican's Anti-Science Stance on Global Warming
The Tea Party and Republican Obstructionism
Tea Party Candidates and O'Donnell's Constitution Confusion
Tea Party's Climate Change Denial
Climate Change is an Economic and a Security Issue
How to get Through to Climate Change Deniers
Deniers Deprived of Misinformation Strategy
The Dangerous Diversion of Climategate
California's Proposition 23
The Global Work Party and US Midterm Elections
Republicans Undermining Climate Legislation
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Green Stimulus Spending and Republican Opposition
Van Jones Succumbs to Republican Pressure
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Election 2010 Midterm Predictions

Forecasts for the midterm elections vary but everyone seems to agree that there will be almost 100 close races.

The House of Representatives currently has 255 Democrats and 178 Republicans, but it is not certain who will have control after November. Democrats now control the Senate 59-41, but there are 37 races at stake.

Election Projections is forecasting widespread Republican victories. According to their assessments, Republicans will gain 7 seats in the Senate giving the Democrats 50 seats and the Republicans 48 and they also expect to see Republicans gain 53 seats in the House which will give the Democrats 202 seats and the Republicans 232. They are further predicting that in the gubernatorial race, Republicans will gain 5 states giving the Democrats 21 states and Republicans 29.

Stu Rothenberg thinks there are 100 potential battlegrounds, with 91 now held by the Democrats. Charlie Cook, pegs the number at 97, with 90 held by Democrats.

Joe Gaylord predicted that Republicans will pick up between 59 and 63 seats, far more than the 39 they need to gain control of the House.

A Washington Post poll of 96 competitive House districts (86 of which are held by Democrats) show that in 53 of the most competitive districts now held by Democrats, Republicans are narrowly ahead. However, Democrats have gained some ground in those districts since a similar poll in June.

The 2010 Scorecard, NPR`s midterm predictions for the House of Representatives gives 216 seats to Democrats and 197 to Republicans. In the Senate, they predict 49 Democrats and 45 Republicans.


Related Posts
Democrat's Chances in the 2010 Midterms
Environmental Issues in Six Key Senate Races
The 2010 Midterms and the Fight Against Climate Change
California's Proposition 23
Republican Political Finance and the Midterm Elections
Republican Strategy for the 2010 Midterms and Beyond
Republican's Anti-Science Stance on Global Warming
The Tea Party and Republican Obstructionism
Tea Party Candidates and O'Donnell's Constitution Confusion
Tea Party's Climate Change Denial
The Global Work Party and US Midterm Elections
Republicans Undermining Climate Legislation
What is Wrong with the Right
Health Care Legislation and the Environment
Green Stimulus Spending and Republican Opposition
Van Jones Succumbs to Republican Pressure
Why We Did Not Get A Binding Agreement At COP15
Obama Needs the Senate to Succeed on Climate Change
Deniers Deprived of Misinformation Strategy
The Dangerous Diversion of Climategate
How to get Through to Climate Change Deniers
Limbaugh Blames the Sierra Club for Oil Spill
Palin Blames Environmentalists for Oil Spill
Palin Renews Call for Offshore Oil Exploitation
Sarah Palin Belongs on Fox Not Discovery
Sarah Palin: Tea Party Queen but No Friend of Green
Palin is No Friend of Green
The New International System: The Role of Government

Democrats' Chances in the 2010 Midterms

As voting day approaches for this year's midterm elections, Democrats are trending in the right direction. However, the momentum leading up to the midterms favors the Republicans who are fueled by rabid hatred of Democratic policies if not Obama himself.

The conventional wisdom suggests that the Republicans will fare well because they have an energized base of support. However, according to new surveys, the black vote may break with tradition and turnout in greater numbers for midterm elections. Surveys found that 80 percent of black Democrats are as interested, or more interested, in the midterm elections as they were in the 2008 presidential election.

Also, 62 percent of all black Democrats polled said they are likely to encourage others to support certain candidates, compared with 47 percent of white Democrats and 57 percent of all Republicans.

A month ago, a Washington Post/ABC News poll indicated that Republicans had an enormous 53% to 40% lead among likely voters. A month later, polls showed the Republican advantage slipping, and the Washington Post/ABC News poll in early October offers similar evidence. On the generic ballot, a month ago, the GOP lead was 13 points, (53 percent to 40 percent). More recent polls indicate that the Republican advantage has shrunk to six points, (49 percent to 43 percent).

An October 17th NPR article reports that polls are showing the GOP's advantage in many key Congressional races is indeed narrowing. President Obama’s approval rating has also improved to 50 percent, and support for the president’s handling of the economy is up four points to 45 percent.

Republicans may have peaked in late August and early September and the Democrat's fortunes are improving as we enter the final stretch.

Midterm elections are rarely harbingers of presidential elections. Remember the success that Republican's had in the midterms in 1994 and subsequent Clinton victory in 1996. However, the six point spread may yet prove devastating to Democrats particularly when you consider that at this point in 1994, the GOP had a two point lead and they went on to make significant gains.

Perhaps Americans will wake up to the fact that this midterm election is not about checks and balances, or even venting frustrations, it is about a choice between progress and two long years of legislative stagnation.

People are voting Democrat so that the US can be competive with the rest of the world, others are voting Democrat to protect the planet for future generations, still others are voting Democrat to keep the wolves out of Washington.

Next: Election 2010 Midterm Predictions


Related Post
Environmental Issues in Six Key Senate Races
The 2010 Midterms and the Fight Against Climate Change
Republican Political Finance and the 2010 Midterm Elections
Republican Strategy for the 2010 Midterms and Beyond
Republican's Anti-Science Stance on Global Warming
Tea Party Candidates and O'Donnell's Constitution Confusion
The Tea Party and Republican Obstructionism
Tea Party's Climate Change Denial
California's Proposition 23
The Global Work Party and US Midterm Elections
Republicans Undermining Climate Legislation
What is Wrong with the Right
Health Care Legislation and Implications for the Environment
Green Stimulus Spending and Republican Opposition
Van Jones Succumbs to Republican Pressure
Why We Did Not Get A Binding Agreement At COP15
Obama Needs the Senate to Succeed on Climate Change
Deniers Deprived of Misinformation Strategy
The Dangerous Diversion of Climategate
How to get Through to Climate Change Deniers
Limbaugh Blames the Sierra Club for Oil Spill
Palin Blames Environmentalists for Oil Spill
Palin Renews Call for Offshore Oil Exploitation
Sarah Palin Belongs on Fox Not Discovery
Sarah Palin: Tea Party Queen but No Friend of Green
Palin is No Friend of Green
The New International System: The Role of Government